Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 0.242391 0.284422 0.334243 0.398407 0.479967 0.581731 0.720844
2025-01-05 0.176072 0.225469 0.291587 0.389472 0.536106 0.757453 1.138680
2025-01-12 0.142697 0.194516 0.270367 0.395571 0.610751 0.996899 1.837086
2025-01-19 0.119008 0.169671 0.248865 0.390981 0.664048 1.233940 2.789471
2025-01-26 0.104829 0.155286 0.238784 0.400340 0.745271 1.583843 4.539348
2025-02-02 0.095043 0.145578 0.233550 0.415944 0.846902 2.072820 7.892700
2025-02-09 0.086663 0.136502 0.227067 0.426516 0.943347 2.656918 14.023100
2025-02-16 0.080143 0.129465 0.222686 0.439989 1.056417 3.456945 27.554851
2025-02-23 0.074154 0.122390 0.216693 0.447789 1.159902 4.406911 57.885226
2025-03-02 0.068724 0.115545 0.209809 0.451305 1.254325 5.531503 136.154786
2025-03-09 0.063601 0.108592 0.201438 0.448533 1.327383 6.748745 366.384989
2025-03-16 0.058693 0.101461 0.191507 0.438777 1.369785 7.923220 1170.654088
2025-03-23 0.055818 0.098175 0.189900 0.453330 1.532116 10.897410 41076.718058
2025-03-30 0.051692 0.091871 0.180382 0.441715 1.570696 12.891128 NaN
2025-04-06 0.049041 0.088368 0.176991 0.448601 1.712236 17.434094 NaN
2025-04-13 0.046046 0.083810 0.170349 0.443081 1.786419 21.812671 NaN
2025-04-20 0.044127 0.081382 0.168650 0.454102 1.974648 31.765466 NaN
2025-04-27 0.042678 0.079826 0.168933 0.472552 2.240798 51.640936 NaN
2025-05-04 0.041093 0.077796 0.167662 0.485077 2.490674 84.162210 NaN
2025-05-11 0.039745 0.076169 0.167233 0.501066 2.803229 154.333951 NaN
2025-05-18 0.038265 0.074090 0.165257 0.510337 3.083236 288.357253 NaN
2025-05-25 0.036739 0.071764 0.162264 0.514519 3.332270 561.248974 NaN
2025-06-01 0.035115 0.069067 0.157854 0.511222 3.505630 1074.445636 NaN